Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.197610 0.233444 0.273530 0.321642 0.377764 0.441109 0.517977
2025-08-03 0.143262 0.188922 0.245460 0.320389 0.416847 0.536591 0.696260
2025-08-10 0.108571 0.155705 0.218743 0.308760 0.433488 0.599628 0.837050
2025-08-17 0.084337 0.129781 0.194600 0.293086 0.438094 0.642733 0.952168
2025-08-24 0.071132 0.116342 0.184509 0.293743 0.463125 0.714166 1.112312
2025-08-31 0.058878 0.101850 0.170024 0.284700 0.471076 0.759800 1.237785
2025-09-07 0.051720 0.094114 0.164520 0.288220 0.497876 0.835692 1.416614
2025-09-14 0.045343 0.086534 0.157942 0.288607 0.518884 0.903697 1.589086
2025-09-21 0.039321 0.078537 0.149363 0.284070 0.530406 0.956456 1.740769
2025-09-28 0.034681 0.072319 0.142972 0.282320 0.546118 1.017248 1.911626
2025-10-05 0.032693 0.070894 0.145154 0.296504 0.592089 1.135411 2.195610
2025-10-12 0.031329 0.070491 0.149170 0.314542 0.647068 1.274945 2.531934
2025-10-19 0.029135 0.068270 0.149787 0.326995 0.694832 1.409974 2.882009
2025-10-26 0.025950 0.063417 0.144426 0.326748 0.717754 1.501008 3.159628
2025-11-02 0.022280 0.056812 0.134338 0.315014 0.715365 1.541644 3.341524
2025-11-09 0.018857 0.050160 0.123101 0.299050 0.701675 1.557353 3.473548
2025-11-16 0.017026 0.047068 0.119487 0.299721 0.724334 1.650906 3.778162
2025-11-23 0.014839 0.042668 0.112109 0.290502 0.723344 1.693409 3.977065
2025-11-30 0.013633 0.040638 0.110183 0.294091 0.752427 1.804775 4.338986
2025-12-07 0.012399 0.038308 0.107151 0.294486 0.773860 1.901011 4.676503
2025-12-14 0.011079 0.035489 0.102421 0.289860 0.782344 1.968144 4.953554
2025-12-21 0.010031 0.033273 0.098964 0.288076 0.797706 2.052981 5.280964
2025-12-28 0.009706 0.033200 0.101398 0.302536 0.856725 2.249087 5.896304